Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1.122295 1.334955 1.557715 1.806896 2.076382 2.357694 2.672243
2025-01-19 0.864609 1.168917 1.507953 1.906919 2.357467 2.845210 3.408117
2025-01-26 0.740421 1.095523 1.507902 2.008729 2.588798 3.229561 3.981613
2025-02-02 0.653882 1.050945 1.529272 2.125719 2.830668 3.621640 4.561827
2025-02-09 0.597276 1.031220 1.570284 2.256774 3.080924 4.016567 5.139138
2025-02-16 0.527609 0.984337 1.570286 2.332439 3.261463 4.328037 5.618928
2025-02-23 0.448951 0.914538 1.533322 2.356214 3.374897 4.557474 6.001039
2025-03-02 0.346541 0.796760 1.423656 2.280727 3.361696 4.633112 6.200529
2025-03-09 0.257078 0.683420 1.309323 2.190623 3.323573 4.673627 6.354151
2025-03-16 0.196126 0.604133 1.234187 2.145044 3.335417 4.769548 6.569044
2025-03-23 0.165009 0.570791 1.221507 2.179929 3.446676 4.984123 6.923511
2025-03-30 0.131688 0.526526 1.188630 2.184519 3.517186 5.147583 7.215902
2025-04-06 0.092911 0.463622 1.126000 2.150564 3.543684 5.265321 7.464903
2025-04-13 0.082904 0.462157 1.160195 2.253369 3.750055 5.607622 7.987939
2025-04-20 0.076060 0.466419 1.202692 2.367221 3.970288 5.966561 8.530547
2025-04-27 0.071771 0.476248 1.254202 2.494187 4.208283 6.348300 9.101761
2025-05-04 0.070133 0.492734 1.316807 2.637321 4.467980 6.757526 9.706916
2025-05-11 0.060758 0.485205 1.337834 2.719550 4.646552 7.065350 10.188975
2025-05-18 0.046256 0.457100 1.321318 2.745432 4.749016 7.277183 10.553714
2025-05-25 0.025105 0.392332 1.234464 2.663317 4.703641 7.300864 10.686822
2025-06-01 0.010085 0.328135 1.140533 2.565186 4.632632 7.289112 10.773905
2025-06-08 0.003297 0.285202 1.080949 2.515485 4.624570 7.354689 10.953535
2025-06-15 0.001371 0.271346 1.077979 2.553528 4.737529 7.575294 11.325235